Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.176056 0.202447 0.232661 0.270081 0.315551 0.369487 0.439026
2025-04-13 0.133033 0.165875 0.207706 0.265996 0.346930 0.458192 0.628034
2025-04-20 0.110392 0.146028 0.195182 0.270280 0.386614 0.568390 0.893062
2025-04-27 0.096024 0.133030 0.187413 0.277054 0.429602 0.697146 1.252935
2025-05-04 0.085395 0.122826 0.180778 0.282652 0.470939 0.838104 1.722024
2025-05-11 0.077611 0.115298 0.176365 0.290087 0.516945 1.006906 2.378691
2025-05-18 0.070689 0.107896 0.170556 0.293216 0.555114 1.176875 3.196503
2025-05-25 0.064767 0.101205 0.164675 0.294580 0.589767 1.356438 4.249407
2025-06-01 0.059387 0.094676 0.157959 0.292635 0.616240 1.529802 5.525559
2025-06-08 0.054455 0.088308 0.150551 0.287596 0.633670 1.688390 7.014556
2025-06-15 0.051689 0.085489 0.149462 0.296080 0.689165 2.007059 10.066365
2025-06-22 0.047829 0.080209 0.142765 0.290333 0.703724 2.193665 12.838351
2025-06-29 0.045232 0.077109 0.140219 0.294362 0.750152 2.551002 18.462174
2025-07-06 0.042218 0.072911 0.134872 0.290516 0.771642 2.826983 24.908866
2025-07-13 0.040232 0.070530 0.133095 0.295528 0.825112 3.317668 38.233709
2025-07-20 0.038624 0.068735 0.132352 0.303189 0.892055 3.971540 63.541509
2025-07-27 0.037057 0.066866 0.131191 0.309493 0.957791 4.724447 109.911630
2025-08-03 0.035746 0.065396 0.130753 0.317852 1.036943 5.720154 213.657030
2025-08-10 0.034252 0.063400 0.128820 0.321371 1.098379 6.717131 420.327896
2025-08-17 0.032773 0.061303 0.126394 0.322905 1.152765 7.795181 892.879603
2025-08-24 0.031224 0.058925 0.123007 0.320719 1.189277 8.808441 1974.145228
2025-08-31 0.029631 0.056329 0.118799 0.315055 1.206462 9.677114 4506.730174
2025-09-07 0.028865 0.055519 0.119049 0.324593 1.311206 12.075157 35933.459238